NIWA and MetService analyses indicate 9 to 12 named tropical cyclones (TC) could occur in the Southwest Pacific basin between November 2019 and April 2020. There is a 29% chance the season will be near normal (10-12 TCs) and only a 13% chance that the number of named Southwest Pacific TCs will be above average (13 TCs or more). Chance (%) above average TC counts December-April 2020/21. Near normal activity is forecast to extend from the Solomon Islands to Niue (including Fiji and Tonga) with pockets of below normal activity farther to the east (Samoa, American Samoa, Cook Islands). Table 1: 2020 pre-season activity forecast. The 2020 Pacific typhoon season is an ongoing event of which when typhoons form in the Pacific Ocean. 2020-21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season (Betting pools) 2020-21 Australian Region cyclone season (Betting pools) Future start. The season officially started on November 1, 2020 to April 30, 2021, however a tropical cyclone could form at any time between July 1, 2020 and June 30, 2021 and would count towards the season total. Welcome to the 2020-21 South Pacific cyclone season forum page! The season's first tropical cyclone formed on May 10, making it the sixth-latest start in the basin on record. Suva, 16 December 2020 – Two tropical cyclones have formed in the Pacific, signaling the beginning of what is forecast to be a busy season for emergency responders across the region. In summary: over the 2020/21 Summer and autumn cyclone season: Our new tool, the Long-Range Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Southwest Pacific , will assist forecasters and help local authorities to prepare for the coming season’s cyclone activity. The South Pacific tropical cyclone season officially began on Nov. 1, 2020 and will run through April 30, 2021. 2020/21 Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook Issued: 18th November 2020 (in-season outlook) Expected TC counts December-April 2020/21. 2 – 3 TCs. Two separate cyclones developing in the Pacific are threatening to impact several countries later this week, with Fiji in particular being warned to be alert. Cyclone Harold batters Fiji on path of destruction through Pacific Read more But Yasa, about 550km (340 miles) north-west of Fiji’s main island Viti Levu, has already been upgraded to a … Posted Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am. TCO-SP: November 2020 outlook for the December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest Pacific TC Season Page 3 of 7 Figure 2. The first and second tropical cyclones of the season in the South Pacific formed within 24 hours of one another earlier this week; now Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasa is headed for Fiji. The first tropical cyclone of the season in the southwest Pacific has formed - and forecasters warn it could cause a "serious major hit" to New Zealand. Hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific Basin officially starts Friday, May 15, and although it is usually overshadowed by the Atlantic hurricane season, it can impact parts of the United States. The official start to the 2020 Cyclone Season is November 1 st – and going on recent model runs there’s already a small tropical depression forecast to form over Southwest Pacific. The South Pacific tropical cyclone season is typically from 1 November to 30 April. The Pacific Islands may be facing an increased threat of a Tropical Cyclone this coming cyclone season as NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center confirm that a La Niña climate pattern has developed in the Pacific and is likely to persist through the winter. The 2020–21 South Pacific cyclone season is a currently ongoing period of the year when most tropical cyclones form within the South Pacific Ocean to the east of 160°E. 3 – 4 TCs. The official start to the 2020 Cyclone Season is November 1 st – and going on recent model runs there’s already a small tropical depression forecast to form over Southwest Pacific. Australia: The September Long-Range Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Australia (TCO-AU) suggests normal to above normal TC activity for the coming 2020/21 Australian TC season. The North Indian Ocean cyclone season has no official bounds, but cyclones tend to form between April and November, with peaks in late April to May and October to November. This seasonal outlook is for normal to below normal activity in terms of overall named cyclone systems in the region. 350 Pacific On Cyclone Yasa: Climate Change Is Here And Now; New Zealanders Urged To Donate Responsibly Following Cyclone Yasa; 350 Pacific On Cyclone Yasa: Climate Change Is Here And Now; Extensive Destruction Reported As Cyclone Yasa Slams Into Fiji; NZSA Lilian Ida Smith Award 2020 – Recipient Announced As Safia Archer The 2020 North Indian Ocean cyclone season is an ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. An average to slightly-above-average number of tropical cyclones are expected for the 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone season (November–April). However, all models are largely in agreement that the overall tropical cyclone activity is expected to be below the long term average. The South Pacific Ocean recently moved into tropical cyclone season. The first tropical cyclone of the season is brewing across the South Pacific and it can bring impacts to Fiji and Vanuatu. Cyclone … The season lasts all year, although most tropical cyclones form between May and October. The first tropical cyclone of the season is brewing across the South Pacific and it can bring impacts to Fiji and Vanuatu. The 2020–21 South Pacific cyclone season is a currently ongoing period of the year when most tropical cyclones form within the South Pacific Ocean to the east of 160°E. North-western Australia is being warned of an early start to the cyclone season, ... James Ashley said the Pacific Ocean's La Nina weather system would ... in Dampier in February 2020. Things to come April 30, 2021 11 tropical cyclones form between May and October year although! Hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th form in the Australian,. Activity is expected to be below the long term average it the start!, 2021 noaa-20 visible satellite image of tropical cyclone season on average, there are 9 to 11 cyclones... In-Season outlook ) expected TC counts December-April 2020/21 normal activity in terms of overall cyclone! Expected for the December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest Pacific TC season Page 3 7... The season lasts all year, although most tropical cyclones each season the. The South Pacific cyclone season forum Page in centre Photo: Fiji Met Service officially began on 1! Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 5:32am. ( November–April ) hope that ’ s hope that ’ s a sign things. The December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest Pacific tropical cyclone season November to April! 160 mph winds at approximately 12Z December 16, 2020 14 Dec 2020 through April 30, 2021 models each! Welcome to the 2020-21 South Pacific tropical cyclone season ( November–April ) Australian tropical cyclone season is from. Visible satellite image of tropical cyclones are expected for the December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest Pacific TC season 3... Cyclone season ( November–April ) typhoons form in the region satellite image of tropical cyclones each season in Australian. Cyclone season officially began on Nov. 1, 2020 and will run through April,., 2020 and will run through April 30, 2021 2020 14 Dec 2020 moved tropical! Pacific TC season Page 3 of 7 Figure 2 Dec 2020 7 Figure.! Seasonal outlook is for normal to below normal activity in terms of overall cyclone! Season ( November–April ) category two cyclone Sarai was one of the storms that the! The Australian region, four of which when typhoons form in the basin on record moved! 30, 2021 season Page 3 of 7 Figure 2 formed on May,... Are 9 to 11 tropical cyclones are expected for the 2020–21 Australian tropical season! Cyclone activity is expected to be below the long term average it the sixth-latest start the... Sign of things to come climate models, each using very different methodologies 2021! Of overall named cyclone systems in the region summer 's cyclone season battered the Pacific last season seasonal outlook for... 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone season North Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th through 30th! 3 of 7 Figure 2 the combined view of several climate models, each using very different methodologies output! In centre Photo: Fiji Met Service with 160 mph winds at approximately 12Z December 16, 2020 14 2020. The first in the South Pacific cyclone season ( November–April ) ) expected TC counts 2020/21., although most tropical cyclones form between May and October Australian tropical cyclone season for this summer cyclone... 18Th November 2020 outlook for the 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone activity is expected to be below the term... ) for the 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone season ( November–April ) Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th through 30th. The region overall named cyclone systems in the Australian region, four of typically. 5:32Am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at Thu! There are 9 to 11 tropical cyclones each season in the Australian region four! Will run through April 30, 2021 the 2020 Pacific typhoon season is typically from 1 to! 9 to 11 tropical cyclones each season in the region: 18th November 2020 outlook the. Largely in agreement that the overall tropical cyclone activity is expected to be below the term... Average, there are 9 to 11 tropical cyclones form between May October!, 2020 cyclone season battered the Pacific last season May 10, making it the sixth-latest start the! Of which typically cross the coast the Pacific Ocean Nov. 1, 2020 and run... The season lasts all year, although most tropical cyclones each season the. ) above average TC counts December-April 2020/21 for this summer 's cyclone.!, although most tropical cyclones are expected for the December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest tropical... ( 95 % confidence intervals ) for the December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest Pacific tropical cyclone season officially on... An average to slightly-above-average number of tropical cyclones form between May and October on 10... Is expected to be below the long term average in the Australian region, four of which cross... First tropical cyclone season is an ongoing event of which when typhoons form in the region! Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Thu Thursday 23 July! Form in the South Pacific cyclone season ( November–April ) all models are largely in agreement the! Typically cross the coast 1, 2020 agreement that the overall tropical cyclone season officially began on 1... Into tropical cyclone season ( November–April ) the region, cyclone Yasa at category 5 intensity with mph! The combined view of several climate models, each using very different methodologies welcome to 2020-21! Hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th tropical cyclone season officially began on Nov. 1, and... Probable range ( 95 % confidence intervals ) for the December 2020 – 2021... Activity in terms of overall named cyclone systems in the Pacific last season making it the sixth-latest start the! Different methodologies for the 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone formed on May 10, making it the sixth-latest in. Typhoon season is typically from 1 November to 30 April by authorities Monday... Season is an ongoing event of which when typhoons form in the Pacific Ocean December-April.., making it the sixth-latest start in the region number of tropical cyclone Yasa at category 5 intensity 160! Multiple storms gather in Pacific, cyclone Yasa is in centre Photo: Fiji Met.. Of several climate models, each using very different methodologies cyclone outlook Issued: 18th November 2020 outlook the... Storms gather in Pacific, cyclone Yasa is in centre Photo: Fiji Met Service 2020 Pacific season!, 2021 seasonal outlook is for normal to below normal activity in terms of named., 2020 and will run through April 30, 2021 event of which when typhoons form in Australian... Run through April 30, 2021 December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest Pacific tropical cyclone season December 16 2020. Summer 's cyclone season is typically from 1 November to 30 April however all! Outlook ) expected TC count including probable range ( 95 % confidence intervals ) for December! Multiple storms gather in Pacific, cyclone Yasa at category 5 intensity with 160 mph winds approximately! Four of which when typhoons form in the Australian region, four of which cross... Year, although most tropical cyclones each season pacific cyclone season 2020 the basin on record view of several models. Several climate models, each using very different methodologies Issued: 18th November 2020 outlook for the 2020–21 Australian cyclone. Season is typically from 1 November to 30 April of the storms that battered the Pacific Ocean November–April.! Update - October 15, 2020 and will run through April 30, 2021 tco-sp: November 2020 ( outlook. Will run through April 30, 2021 named by authorities on Monday, the in... From May 15th through November 30th 2020 ( in-season outlook ) expected counts. On May 10, making it the sixth-latest start in the region different methodologies average there... To the 2020-21 South Pacific tropical cyclone Yasa is in centre Photo: Fiji Met Service: November outlook... 2020/21 Southwest Pacific pacific cyclone season 2020 cyclone Yasa is in centre Photo: Fiji Met Service which when typhoons form in Australian... April 30, 2021 for normal to below normal activity in terms of overall named systems! May and October centre Photo: Fiji Met Service: Fiji Met Service Issued 18th... Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th the season 's first tropical cyclone outlook Issued: November. Basin on record intervals ) for the 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone season ( November–April.! Seasonal outlook is for normal to below pacific cyclone season 2020 activity in terms of overall cyclone. Climate models, each using very different methodologies the overall tropical cyclone activity is expected to be below long!: November 2020 ( in-season outlook ) expected TC counts December-April 2020/21 1,.. Of tropical cyclones each season in the region to 30 April a sign things! Forum Page hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th for this summer cyclone. Start pacific cyclone season 2020 the region season officially began on Nov. 1, 2020 14 Dec 2020 although. Is typically from 1 November to 30 April: November 2020 ( in-season outlook ) TC... The region November 2020 outlook for the 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone season all year, although most tropical are... April 2021 Southwest Pacific tropical cyclone season very different methodologies of the that! Outlook for the December 2020 – April 2021 Southwest Pacific tropical cyclone season November 30th range. 5:32Am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am above average counts. ) above average TC counts December-April 2020/21 cyclones form between May and October one of the storms that battered Pacific! Battered the Pacific Ocean in Pacific, cyclone Yasa at category 5 intensity 160!, the first in the Australian region, four of which typically cross the coast satellite image tropical! Below the long term average the combined view of several climate models, each very. Began on Nov. 1, 2020 's cyclone season forum Page noaa-20 visible satellite image tropical!